BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Cal

Class: 1A Class Rank: 12 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  157.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Neutral L   128.94   6  52   1A   1 ( 14-  0) Alabama               -28.11    -17.89                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W   166.90  45   7   1A  87 (  3-  9) Utah St                 9.85     28.15                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L * 135.48  10  27   1A  19 ( 10-  3) Stanford              -21.58      4.58                      
  4 09/23/2016 Away    L * 144.55  27  31   1A  35 (  9-  4) Utah                  -12.50      8.50                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    W * 155.85  41  20   1A  73 (  5-  7) Arizona St             -1.21     22.21                      
  6 10/08/2016 Home    W * 156.07  21  17   1A  17 ( 10-  4) Colorado               -0.99      4.99                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    W * 166.17  48  14   1A  96 (  3-  9) Arizona                 9.11     24.89                      
  8 10/27/2016 Home    W * 158.66  45  24   1A  63 (  5-  7) California              1.60     19.40                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    W * 161.20  45  20   1A  69 (  4-  8) Oregon                  4.15     20.85                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    W * 180.36  26  13   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Washington             23.30    -10.30                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    W * 165.21  36  14   1A  54 (  4-  8) UCLA                    8.15     13.85                      
 12 11/26/2016 Home    W   162.35  45  27   1A  40 (  4-  8) Notre Dame              5.29     12.71                      
 13 01/02/2017 Neutral W   159.99  52  49   1A  10 ( 11-  3) Penn State              2.94      0.06                      
      Averages             157.06  34.4 24.2

Best game:  180.36 = 13 point win over Washington
Worst game: 128.94 = 46 point loss to Alabama
Team stdev:  13.73